Operate · the United States

Underwriting: Timber Tract Operations

What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.

— not scored
REWORK
PROVE
OPEN
NOT SCORED. 65 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.
IndustryNAICS 113110
Scopethe United States
RubricO1.0-20260804
Pricedfree — no account, no gate
49th percentile of 287 industries

Where this industry stands

Net formation, 5yrPercentileReads asSignal strength
+0.10%49th of 287roughly in balanceρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation
SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2010–FY2026

Can you borrow to buy one

MeasureValue
Acquisition loans approved78
Median loan$465,912
Mean rate7.04%
Mean term89 months
Charged off4.2%
456 firms · Census SUSB 2022

What firms here actually earn

Revenue band ($000)FirmsShareCumulativeLabour share of revenue
<1007316.0%16.0%110.5%
100-49916335.7%51.8%20.9%
500-9994710.3%62.1%19.3%
1,000-2,4998518.6%80.7%15.9%
2,500-4,999367.9%88.6%14.5%
5,000-7,499204.4%93.0%13.7%
7,500-9,99961.3%94.3%11.7%
10,000-14,999153.3%97.6%10.6%
100,000+112.4%100.0%14.5%
SBA 7(a) · FY2010–FY2026

Can an acquisition here be financed?

MeasureValue
SBA acquisition loans on record78
Median loan$465,912
Typical rate7.04%
Typical term89 months
Total approved$29,095,800
Charge-off rate, seasoned cohorts4.2%
Loans that reached an outcome48

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65 of 100 rubric points evidenced

What this report can and cannot underwrite

DimensionWeightEvidencePredicts?Source
O1 · Demand density and recurrence25evidencedpredictive · ρ +0.57US Census County Business Patterns
O2 · Payment evidence15partialnot backtestedUSASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain
O3 · Licence gate favourability15evidencednot backtestedCareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor
O4 · Labour availability15evidencednot backtestedBLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024
O5 · Incumbent weakness10no producernot backtestednone
O6 · Margin structure10partialnot backtestedUS Census Statistics of U.S. Businesses 2022
O7 · Ceiling10evidencedDESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain

Every licensed occupation in this industry

OccupationShare hereConcentrationJurisdictions
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers17.68%17.2×39 of 56
Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines2.95%25.1×2 of 56
First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers6.51%373.3×1 of 56
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks2.22%2.3×2 of 56
Office Clerks, General3.96%2.3×1 of 56

What this report cannot tell you

Gap
licence titles in this scope — none matched 'Logging Equipment Operators', though it is licensed in 39 jurisdictions nationally. The title differs locally, or the record is held municipally.
occupation mix for NAICS 113110 — the labour statistics carry no rows at this level, so everything about occupations here, including the defining occupation and its licence gate, is measured at NAICS 113000, a broader grouping. Establishment counts are for 113110 itself.
licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 39 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence.
bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated