Path

Should I run this licensed business?

Licensed, permitted, regulated, physical, trades and service businesses. The market is a catchment, not a channel, and the licence is the moat.

PathOPERATE
RubricO1.0-20260804
Dimensions7
Sources feeding it2071

rubric O1.0-20260804 · NO SCORE IS COMPUTED for this path, so there is no interval to publish. OPERATE reports which of its seven dimensions the public record can evidence, and a percentile on net establishment formation whose predictive strength IS measured — ρ +0.567 across four backtested windows, published at /api/v1/calibration. A measured signal beats a scored opinion with a band around it.

rubric O1.0-20260804

What this path scores

DimensionWeightWhat it measures
Evidence people pay15%
Ceiling10%
Demand density25%countable work inside a servable catchment. The OPERATE analogue of reachability: the market is a radius, not
Licence gate15%NON-MONOTONIC BY DESIGN. No gate scores LOW - anyone may enter tomorrow. An unclearable gate scores low. The p
Labour availability15%the constraint that actually stalls service businesses. No other rubric in the system can see it.
Incumbent weakness10%measurable rather than asserted - 451 INSP sources carry violations, enforcement actions and complaint volumes
Margin structure10%
six slots

The ladder

Free page built

A findable page that answers the question without a sign-up.

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Tool built

A calculator or generator that works before anyone pays.

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Report built

The underwritten item, with its interval and its provenance.

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Library built

Regimes, benchmarks and post-mortems behind the report.

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Service empty

The done-for-you tier.

Ledger entry built

The frozen prediction, and later the outcome.

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A path ships when all six slots are filled. Half a path is not a milestone.

one per sector, by operator count

Industries you can look at now

IndustryNAICSOperatorsThe pageThe toolThe underwriting
Limited-Service Restaurants722513269,651openwhereunderwriting
Offices of Physicians (except Mental Health 621111203,776openwhereunderwriting
Religious Organizations813110186,615openwhereunderwriting
Offices of Lawyers541110164,612openwhereunderwriting
Residential Remodelers236118134,525openwhereunderwriting
Insurance Agencies and Brokerages524210133,245openwhereunderwriting
Landscaping Services561730117,185openwhereunderwriting
Supermarkets and Other Grocery Retailers (ex44511061,653openwhereunderwriting
General Freight Trucking, Long-Distance, Tru48412159,133openwhereunderwriting
Fitness and Recreational Sports Centers71394040,307openwhereunderwriting
Elementary and Secondary Schools61111021,776openwhereunderwriting
Retail Bakeries3118118,262openwhereunderwriting

Every six-digit industry with establishment data has these three pages. This is one per sector so the spread is visible — the corpus is not a trades corpus.