Operate · the United States

Underwriting: Forest Nurseries and Gathering of Forest Products

What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.

— not scored

REWORK

PROVE

OPEN

NOT SCORED. 65 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.

IndustryNAICS 113210

Scopethe United States

RubricO1.0-20260804

Pricedfree — no account, no gate

78th percentile of 287 industries

Where this industry stands

Net formation, 5yr	Percentile	Reads as	Signal strength
+2.18%	78th of 287	forming faster than it is dying	ρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation

SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2012–FY2025

Can you borrow to buy one

Measure	Value
Acquisition loans approved	18
Median loan	$626,550
Mean rate	7.23%
Mean term	108 months
Charged off	—

163 firms · Census SUSB 2022

What firms here actually earn

Revenue band ($000)	Firms	Share	Cumulative	Labour share of revenue
<100	27	16.6%	16.6%	41.2%
100-499	59	36.2%	52.8%	21.0%
500-999	36	22.1%	74.8%	20.0%
1,000-2,499	27	16.6%	91.4%	19.1%
2,500-4,999	11	6.7%	98.2%	27.4%
100,000+	3	1.8%	100.0%	22.3%

SBA 7(a) · FY2012–FY2025

Can an acquisition here be financed?

Measure	Value
SBA acquisition loans on record	18
Median loan	$626,550
Typical rate	7.23%
Typical term	108 months
Total approved	$12,188,000

Take this away

Format	What it is
download the document →	One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account.
JSON →	The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached.

65 of 100 rubric points evidenced

What this report can and cannot underwrite

Dimension	Weight	Evidence	Predicts?	Source
O1 · Demand density and recurrence	25	evidenced	predictive · ρ +0.57	US Census County Business Patterns
O2 · Payment evidence	15	partial	not backtested	USASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain
O3 · Licence gate favourability	15	evidenced	not backtested	CareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor
O4 · Labour availability	15	evidenced	not backtested	BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024
O5 · Incumbent weakness	10	no producer	not backtested	none
O6 · Margin structure	10	partial	not backtested	US Census Statistics of U.S. Businesses 2022
O7 · Ceiling	10	evidenced	DESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05	US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain

Every licensed occupation in this industry

Occupation	Share here	Concentration	Jurisdictions
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers	17.68%	17.2×	39 of 56
Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines	2.95%	25.1×	2 of 56
First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers	6.51%	373.3×	1 of 56
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks	2.22%	2.3×	2 of 56
Office Clerks, General	3.96%	2.3×	1 of 56

What this report cannot tell you

Gap
licence titles in this scope — none matched 'Logging Equipment Operators', though it is licensed in 39 jurisdictions nationally. The title differs locally, or the record is held municipally.
occupation mix for NAICS 113210 — the labour statistics carry no rows at this level, so everything about occupations here, including the defining occupation and its licence gate, is measured at NAICS 113000, a broader grouping. Establishment counts are for 113210 itself.
licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 39 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence.
bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated