Operate · the United States
Underwriting: Other Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.
—
not scored
REWORK
PROVE
OPEN
NOT SCORED. 65 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.
IndustryNAICS 237990
Scopethe United States
RubricO1.0-20260804
Pricedfree — no account, no gate
78th percentile of 287 industries
Where this industry stands
| Net formation, 5yr | Percentile | Reads as | Signal strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| +2.26% | 78th of 287 | forming faster than it is dying | ρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation |
Economic Census 2022
What it costs to produce
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Margin on receipts | 54.2% |
| Computed as | value added — receipts less cost of subcontracted work |
| Industry receipts | $34.0bn |
SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2010–FY2026
Can you borrow to buy one
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Acquisition loans approved | 873 |
| Median loan | $217,159 |
| Mean rate | 7.03% |
| Mean term | 110 months |
| Charged off | 3.7% |
4,533 firms · Census SUSB 2022
What firms here actually earn
| Revenue band ($000) | Firms | Share | Cumulative | Labour share of revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <100 | 490 | 10.8% | 10.8% | 27.7% |
| 100-499 | 1,185 | 26.1% | 37.0% | 28.7% |
| 500-999 | 591 | 13.0% | 50.0% | 27.4% |
| 1,000-2,499 | 927 | 20.5% | 70.4% | 25.5% |
| 2,500-4,999 | 494 | 10.9% | 81.3% | 23.9% |
| 5,000-7,499 | 204 | 4.5% | 85.8% | 22.4% |
| 7,500-9,999 | 113 | 2.5% | 88.3% | 22.6% |
| 10,000-14,999 | 150 | 3.3% | 91.6% | 25.1% |
| 15,000-19,999 | 78 | 1.7% | 93.4% | 20.5% |
| 20,000-24,999 | 42 | 0.9% | 94.3% | 18.6% |
| 25,000-29,999 | 29 | 0.6% | 94.9% | 20.8% |
| 30,000-34,999 | 23 | 0.5% | 95.4% | 21.2% |
| 35,000-39,999 | 22 | 0.5% | 95.9% | 20.9% |
| 40,000-49,999 | 30 | 0.7% | 96.6% | 23.3% |
| 50,000-74,999 | 40 | 0.9% | 97.5% | 24.5% |
| 75,000-99,999 | 20 | 0.4% | 97.9% | 20.4% |
| 100,000+ | 95 | 2.1% | 100.0% | 17.9% |
SBA 7(a) · FY2010–FY2026
Can an acquisition here be financed?
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| SBA acquisition loans on record | 873 |
| Median loan | $217,159 |
| Typical rate | 7.03% |
| Typical term | 110 months |
| Total approved | $484,807,300 |
| Charge-off rate, seasoned cohorts | 3.7% |
| Loans that reached an outcome | 438 |
| Rank among industries | 14th of 501 |
Take this away
| Format | What it is |
|---|---|
| download the document → | One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account. |
| JSON → | The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached. |
65 of 100 rubric points evidenced
What this report can and cannot underwrite
| Dimension | Weight | Evidence | Predicts? | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O1 · Demand density and recurrence | 25 | evidenced | predictive · ρ +0.57 | US Census County Business Patterns |
| O2 · Payment evidence | 15 | partial | not backtested | USASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain |
| O3 · Licence gate favourability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | CareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor |
| O4 · Labour availability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024 |
| O5 · Incumbent weakness | 10 | no producer | not backtested | none |
| O6 · Margin structure | 10 | partial | not backtested | US Census Economic Census 2022 |
| O7 · Ceiling | 10 | evidenced | DESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05 | US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain |
Every licensed occupation in this industry
| Occupation | Share here | Concentration | Jurisdictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Construction Managers | 4.13% | 16.7× | 35 of 56 |
| First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers | 8.21% | 13.7× | 16 of 56 |
| Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators | 12.95% | 41.5× | 11 of 56 |
| Construction Laborers | 22.18% | 29.5× | 10 of 56 |
| Carpenters | 4.5% | 9.5× | 4 of 56 |
| Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers | 3.08% | 3.0× | 39 of 56 |
| General and Operations Managers | 3.56% | 1.4× | 23 of 56 |
| Project Management Specialists | 2.41% | 3.4× | 3 of 56 |
What this report cannot tell you
| Gap |
|---|
| licence titles in this scope — none matched 'Construction Laborers', though it is licensed in 35 jurisdictions nationally. The title differs locally, or the record is held municipally. |
| occupation mix for NAICS 237990 — the labour statistics carry no rows at this level, so everything about occupations here, including the defining occupation and its licence gate, is measured at NAICS 237900, a broader grouping. Establishment counts are for 237990 itself. |
| licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 35 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence. |
| bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated |