Operate · the United States
Underwriting: Framing Contractors
What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.
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not scored
REWORK
PROVE
OPEN
NOT SCORED. 65 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.
IndustryNAICS 238130
Scopethe United States
RubricO1.0-20260804
Pricedfree — no account, no gate
77th percentile of 287 industries
Where this industry stands
| Net formation, 5yr | Percentile | Reads as | Signal strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| +2.17% | 77th of 287 | forming faster than it is dying | ρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation |
Economic Census 2022
What it costs to produce
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Margin on receipts | 48.4% |
| Computed as | value added — receipts less cost of subcontracted work |
| Industry receipts | $29.1bn |
SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2010–FY2026
Can you borrow to buy one
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Acquisition loans approved | 422 |
| Median loan | $70,294 |
| Mean rate | 7.61% |
| Mean term | 96 months |
| Charged off | 8.3% |
12,475 firms · Census SUSB 2022
What firms here actually earn
| Revenue band ($000) | Firms | Share | Cumulative | Labour share of revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <100 | 2,601 | 20.8% | 20.8% | 29.1% |
| 100-499 | 5,116 | 41.0% | 61.9% | 34.6% |
| 500-999 | 1,607 | 12.9% | 74.7% | 31.0% |
| 1,000-2,499 | 1,540 | 12.3% | 87.1% | 24.1% |
| 2,500-4,999 | 712 | 5.7% | 92.8% | 17.8% |
| 5,000-7,499 | 263 | 2.1% | 94.9% | 17.0% |
| 7,500-9,999 | 166 | 1.3% | 96.2% | 15.3% |
| 10,000-14,999 | 171 | 1.4% | 97.6% | 18.4% |
| 15,000-19,999 | 71 | 0.6% | 98.2% | 16.7% |
| 20,000-24,999 | 64 | 0.5% | 98.7% | 16.0% |
| 25,000-29,999 | 32 | 0.3% | 98.9% | 16.9% |
| 30,000-34,999 | 12 | 0.1% | 99.0% | 15.3% |
| 35,000-39,999 | 19 | 0.2% | 99.2% | 15.3% |
| 40,000-49,999 | 23 | 0.2% | 99.4% | 16.8% |
| 50,000-74,999 | 32 | 0.3% | 99.6% | 14.2% |
| 75,000-99,999 | 17 | 0.1% | 99.8% | 17.6% |
| 100,000+ | 29 | 0.2% | 100.0% | 11.9% |
SBA 7(a) · FY2010–FY2026
Can an acquisition here be financed?
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| SBA acquisition loans on record | 422 |
| Median loan | $70,294 |
| Typical rate | 7.61% |
| Typical term | 96 months |
| Total approved | $63,711,100 |
| Charge-off rate, seasoned cohorts | 8.3% |
| Loans that reached an outcome | 181 |
| Rank among industries | 71th of 501 |
Take this away
| Format | What it is |
|---|---|
| download the document → | One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account. |
| JSON → | The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached. |
65 of 100 rubric points evidenced
What this report can and cannot underwrite
| Dimension | Weight | Evidence | Predicts? | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O1 · Demand density and recurrence | 25 | evidenced | predictive · ρ +0.57 | US Census County Business Patterns |
| O2 · Payment evidence | 15 | partial | not backtested | USASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain |
| O3 · Licence gate favourability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | CareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor |
| O4 · Labour availability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024 |
| O5 · Incumbent weakness | 10 | no producer | not backtested | none |
| O6 · Margin structure | 10 | partial | not backtested | US Census Economic Census 2022 |
| O7 · Ceiling | 10 | evidenced | DESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05 | US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain |
Every licensed occupation in this industry
| Occupation | Share here | Concentration | Jurisdictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers | 8.07% | 13.4× | 16 of 56 |
| Roofers | 12.4% | 97.3× | 10 of 56 |
| Construction Laborers | 11.11% | 14.8× | 10 of 56 |
| Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers | 10.44% | 63.4× | 5 of 56 |
| Carpenters | 9.49% | 20.1× | 4 of 56 |
| Glaziers | 3.82% | 106.2× | 4 of 56 |
| Brickmasons and Blockmasons | 4.17% | 87.5× | 3 of 56 |
| Structural Iron and Steel Workers | 3.35% | 80.3× | 3 of 56 |
What this report cannot tell you
| Gap |
|---|
| occupation mix for NAICS 238130 — the labour statistics carry no rows at this level, so everything about occupations here, including the defining occupation and its licence gate, is measured at NAICS 238100, a broader grouping. Establishment counts are for 238130 itself. |
| licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 16 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence. |
| bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated |