Operate · the United States
Underwriting: Machine Shops
What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.
—
not scored
REWORK
PROVE
OPEN
NOT SCORED. 65 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.
IndustryNAICS 332710
Scopethe United States
RubricO1.0-20260804
Pricedfree — no account, no gate
17th percentile of 287 industries
Where this industry stands
| Net formation, 5yr | Percentile | Reads as | Signal strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.80% | 17th of 287 | shrinking hard | ρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation |
Economic Census 2022
What it costs to produce
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Margin on receipts | 64.9% |
| Computed as | value added — receipts less cost of materials |
| Industry receipts | $44.7bn |
SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2010–FY2026
Can you borrow to buy one
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Acquisition loans approved | 2,181 |
| Median loan | $270,600 |
| Mean rate | 6.74% |
| Mean term | 133 months |
| Charged off | 4.1% |
17,130 firms · Census SUSB 2022
What firms here actually earn
| Revenue band ($000) | Firms | Share | Cumulative | Labour share of revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <100 | 2,341 | 13.7% | 13.7% | 34.1% |
| 100-499 | 4,751 | 27.7% | 41.4% | 39.8% |
| 500-999 | 2,694 | 15.7% | 57.1% | 36.1% |
| 1,000-2,499 | 3,398 | 19.8% | 77.0% | 34.1% |
| 2,500-4,999 | 1,788 | 10.4% | 87.4% | 32.5% |
| 5,000-7,499 | 661 | 3.9% | 91.3% | 31.6% |
| 7,500-9,999 | 343 | 2.0% | 93.3% | 31.4% |
| 10,000-14,999 | 373 | 2.2% | 95.4% | 30.2% |
| 15,000-19,999 | 189 | 1.1% | 96.5% | 28.4% |
| 20,000-24,999 | 97 | 0.6% | 97.1% | 28.7% |
| 25,000-29,999 | 78 | 0.5% | 97.6% | 26.8% |
| 30,000-34,999 | 58 | 0.3% | 97.9% | 27.4% |
| 35,000-39,999 | 32 | 0.2% | 98.1% | 27.8% |
| 40,000-49,999 | 54 | 0.3% | 98.4% | 25.6% |
| 50,000-74,999 | 57 | 0.3% | 98.7% | 25.5% |
| 75,000-99,999 | 25 | 0.1% | 98.9% | 24.9% |
| 100,000+ | 191 | 1.1% | 100.0% | 25.0% |
SBA 7(a) · FY2010–FY2026
Can an acquisition here be financed?
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| SBA acquisition loans on record | 2,181 |
| Median loan | $270,600 |
| Typical rate | 6.74% |
| Typical term | 133 months |
| Total approved | $1,215,319,100 |
| Charge-off rate, seasoned cohorts | 4.1% |
| Loans that reached an outcome | 1,254 |
| Rank among industries | 19th of 501 |
Take this away
| Format | What it is |
|---|---|
| download the document → | One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account. |
| JSON → | The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached. |
65 of 100 rubric points evidenced
What this report can and cannot underwrite
| Dimension | Weight | Evidence | Predicts? | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O1 · Demand density and recurrence | 25 | evidenced | predictive · ρ +0.57 | US Census County Business Patterns |
| O2 · Payment evidence | 15 | partial | not backtested | USASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain |
| O3 · Licence gate favourability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | CareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor |
| O4 · Labour availability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024 |
| O5 · Incumbent weakness | 10 | no producer | not backtested | none |
| O6 · Margin structure | 10 | partial | not backtested | US Census Economic Census 2022 |
| O7 · Ceiling | 10 | evidenced | DESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05 | US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain |
Every licensed occupation in this industry
| Occupation | Share here | Concentration | Jurisdictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers | 3.33% | 8.3× | 12 of 56 |
| Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers | 5.45% | 19.0× | 7 of 56 |
| Machinists | 24.24% | 109.9× | 2 of 56 |
| Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic | 2.37% | 49.8× | 1 of 56 |
| General and Operations Managers | 3.93% | 1.6× | 23 of 56 |
| Office Clerks, General | 2.52% | 1.5× | 1 of 56 |
What this report cannot tell you
| Gap |
|---|
| licence titles in this scope — none matched 'Machinists', though it is licensed in 12 jurisdictions nationally. The title differs locally, or the record is held municipally. |
| licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 12 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence. |
| bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated |