Operate · the United States
Underwriting: Beer and Ale Merchant Wholesalers
What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.
—
not scored
REWORK
PROVE
OPEN
NOT SCORED. 65 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.
IndustryNAICS 424810
Scopethe United States
RubricO1.0-20260804
Pricedfree — no account, no gate
69th percentile of 287 industries
Where this industry stands
| Net formation, 5yr | Percentile | Reads as | Signal strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1.38% | 69th of 287 | forming faster than it is dying | ρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation |
Economic Census 2022
What it costs to produce
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Margin on receipts | 82.5% |
| Computed as | value added — receipts less operating expenses |
| Industry receipts | $83.1bn |
SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2010–FY2026
Can you borrow to buy one
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Acquisition loans approved | 138 |
| Median loan | $235,071 |
| Mean rate | 7.17% |
| Mean term | 103 months |
| Charged off | 4.8% |
1,393 firms · Census SUSB 2022
What firms here actually earn
| Revenue band ($000) | Firms | Share | Cumulative | Labour share of revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <100 | 59 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 238.5% |
| 100-499 | 166 | 11.9% | 16.2% | 22.5% |
| 500-999 | 118 | 8.5% | 24.6% | 16.9% |
| 1,000-2,499 | 161 | 11.6% | 36.2% | 14.1% |
| 2,500-4,999 | 94 | 6.7% | 42.9% | 12.3% |
| 5,000-7,499 | 75 | 5.4% | 48.3% | 13.5% |
| 7,500-9,999 | 40 | 2.9% | 51.2% | 14.0% |
| 10,000-14,999 | 89 | 6.4% | 57.6% | 11.6% |
| 15,000-19,999 | 66 | 4.7% | 62.3% | 11.2% |
| 20,000-24,999 | 55 | 3.9% | 66.3% | 10.8% |
| 25,000-29,999 | 35 | 2.5% | 68.8% | 10.7% |
| 30,000-34,999 | 39 | 2.8% | 71.6% | 10.6% |
| 35,000-39,999 | 26 | 1.9% | 73.4% | 11.4% |
| 40,000-49,999 | 56 | 4.0% | 77.5% | 10.8% |
| 50,000-74,999 | 85 | 6.1% | 83.6% | 11.7% |
| 75,000-99,999 | 50 | 3.6% | 87.2% | 10.2% |
| 100,000+ | 179 | 12.8% | 100.0% | 8.0% |
SBA 7(a) · FY2010–FY2026
Can an acquisition here be financed?
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| SBA acquisition loans on record | 138 |
| Median loan | $235,071 |
| Typical rate | 7.17% |
| Typical term | 103 months |
| Total approved | $56,402,200 |
| Charge-off rate, seasoned cohorts | 4.8% |
| Loans that reached an outcome | 62 |
| Rank among industries | 26th of 501 |
Take this away
| Format | What it is |
|---|---|
| download the document → | One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account. |
| JSON → | The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached. |
65 of 100 rubric points evidenced
What this report can and cannot underwrite
| Dimension | Weight | Evidence | Predicts? | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O1 · Demand density and recurrence | 25 | evidenced | predictive · ρ +0.57 | US Census County Business Patterns |
| O2 · Payment evidence | 15 | partial | not backtested | USASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain |
| O3 · Licence gate favourability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | CareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor |
| O4 · Labour availability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024 |
| O5 · Incumbent weakness | 10 | no producer | not backtested | none |
| O6 · Margin structure | 10 | partial | not backtested | US Census Economic Census 2022 |
| O7 · Ceiling | 10 | evidenced | DESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05 | US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain |
Every licensed occupation in this industry
| Occupation | Share here | Concentration | Jurisdictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 12.37% | 15.0× | 17 of 56 |
| Driver/Sales Workers | 3.76% | 13.6× | 3 of 56 |
| Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers | 8.06% | 7.8× | 39 of 56 |
| General and Operations Managers | 3.71% | 1.5× | 23 of 56 |
| Light Truck Drivers | 2.53% | 4.0× | 9 of 56 |
| Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand | 7.58% | 3.8× | 2 of 56 |
What this report cannot tell you
| Gap |
|---|
| occupation mix for NAICS 424810 — the labour statistics carry no rows at this level, so everything about occupations here, including the defining occupation and its licence gate, is measured at NAICS 424000, a broader grouping. Establishment counts are for 424810 itself. |
| licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 17 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence. |
| bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated |