Operate · the United States
Underwriting: Support Activities for Rail Transportation
What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.
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not scored
REWORK
PROVE
OPEN
NOT SCORED. 50 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 25 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.
IndustryNAICS 488210
Scopethe United States
RubricO1.0-20260804
Pricedfree — no account, no gate
86th percentile of 287 industries
Where this industry stands
| Net formation, 5yr | Percentile | Reads as | Signal strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| +3.00% | 86th of 287 | forming much faster than it is dying | ρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation |
SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2011–FY2025
Can you borrow to buy one
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Acquisition loans approved | 45 |
| Median loan | $846,260 |
| Mean rate | 6.59% |
| Mean term | 122 months |
| Charged off | 5.0% |
609 firms · Census SUSB 2022
What firms here actually earn
| Revenue band ($000) | Firms | Share | Cumulative | Labour share of revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <100 | 38 | 6.2% | 6.2% | 34.0% |
| 100-499 | 126 | 20.7% | 26.9% | 37.6% |
| 500-999 | 85 | 14.0% | 40.9% | 34.7% |
| 1,000-2,499 | 110 | 18.1% | 58.9% | 34.3% |
| 2,500-4,999 | 56 | 9.2% | 68.1% | 30.7% |
| 5,000-7,499 | 25 | 4.1% | 72.2% | 28.2% |
| 7,500-9,999 | 19 | 3.1% | 75.4% | 30.5% |
| 10,000-14,999 | 32 | 5.3% | 80.6% | 28.6% |
| 15,000-19,999 | 16 | 2.6% | 83.3% | 32.0% |
| 20,000-24,999 | 6 | 1.0% | 84.2% | 23.5% |
| 30,000-34,999 | 8 | 1.3% | 85.6% | 21.6% |
| 35,000-39,999 | 3 | 0.5% | 86.0% | 24.9% |
| 40,000-49,999 | 3 | 0.5% | 86.5% | 52.7% |
| 50,000-74,999 | 9 | 1.5% | 88.0% | 34.7% |
| 75,000-99,999 | 7 | 1.1% | 89.2% | 44.4% |
| 100,000+ | 66 | 10.8% | 100.0% | 35.7% |
SBA 7(a) · FY2011–FY2025
Can an acquisition here be financed?
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| SBA acquisition loans on record | 45 |
| Median loan | $846,260 |
| Typical rate | 6.59% |
| Typical term | 122 months |
| Total approved | $29,448,700 |
| Charge-off rate, seasoned cohorts | 5.0% |
| Loans that reached an outcome | 20 |
Take this away
| Format | What it is |
|---|---|
| download the document → | One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account. |
| JSON → | The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached. |
50 of 100 rubric points evidenced
What this report can and cannot underwrite
| Dimension | Weight | Evidence | Predicts? | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O1 · Demand density and recurrence | 25 | evidenced | predictive · ρ +0.57 | US Census County Business Patterns |
| O2 · Payment evidence | 15 | partial | not backtested | USASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain |
| O3 · Licence gate favourability | 15 | no producer | not backtested | CareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor |
| O4 · Labour availability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024 |
| O5 · Incumbent weakness | 10 | no producer | not backtested | none |
| O6 · Margin structure | 10 | partial | not backtested | US Census Statistics of U.S. Businesses 2022 |
| O7 · Ceiling | 10 | evidenced | DESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05 | US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain |
Every licensed occupation in this industry
| Occupation | Share here | Concentration | Jurisdictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers | 5.16% | 5.0× | 39 of 56 |
| General and Operations Managers | 3.79% | 1.5× | 23 of 56 |
| Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand | 12.2% | 6.1× | 2 of 56 |
| Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators | 4.13% | 7.9× | 1 of 56 |
What this report cannot tell you
| Gap |
|---|
| licences in any state — no occupation in this industry matched a title in the national register. That may mean unlicensed, or licensed municipally, and the two are different findings. |
| occupation mix for NAICS 488210 — the labour statistics carry no rows at this level, so everything about occupations here, including the defining occupation and its licence gate, is measured at NAICS 488200, a broader grouping. Establishment counts are for 488210 itself. |
| bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated |