Operate · the United States

Underwriting: Drive-In Motion Picture Theaters

What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.

— not scored

REWORK

PROVE

OPEN

NOT SCORED. 65 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.

IndustryNAICS 512132

Scopethe United States

RubricO1.0-20260804

Pricedfree — no account, no gate

82th percentile of 287 industries

Where this industry stands

Net formation, 5yr	Percentile	Reads as	Signal strength
+2.56%	82th of 287	forming much faster than it is dying	ρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation

SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2010–FY2026

Can you borrow to buy one

Measure	Value
Acquisition loans approved	16
Median loan	$277,333
Mean rate	6.47%
Mean term	145 months
Charged off	—

214 firms · Census SUSB 2022

What firms here actually earn

Revenue band ($000)	Firms	Share	Cumulative	Labour share of revenue
<100	69	32.2%	32.2%	33.8%
100-499	88	41.1%	73.4%	20.3%
500-999	39	18.2%	91.6%	22.0%
1,000-2,499	14	6.5%	98.1%	20.5%
2,500-4,999	4	1.9%	100.0%	17.7%

SBA 7(a) · FY2010–FY2026

Can an acquisition here be financed?

Measure	Value
SBA acquisition loans on record	16
Median loan	$277,333
Typical rate	6.47%
Typical term	145 months
Total approved	$3,226,500

Take this away

Format	What it is
download the document →	One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account.
JSON →	The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached.

65 of 100 rubric points evidenced

What this report can and cannot underwrite

Dimension	Weight	Evidence	Predicts?	Source
O1 · Demand density and recurrence	25	evidenced	predictive · ρ +0.57	US Census County Business Patterns
O2 · Payment evidence	15	partial	not backtested	USASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain
O3 · Licence gate favourability	15	evidenced	not backtested	CareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor
O4 · Labour availability	15	evidenced	not backtested	BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024
O5 · Incumbent weakness	10	no producer	not backtested	none
O6 · Margin structure	10	partial	not backtested	US Census Statistics of U.S. Businesses 2022
O7 · Ceiling	10	evidenced	DESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05	US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain

Every licensed occupation in this industry

Occupation	Share here	Concentration	Jurisdictions
Food Servers, Nonrestaurant	2.84%	16.0×	2 of 56
General and Operations Managers	5.35%	2.2×	23 of 56
Bartenders	2.34%	4.0×	11 of 56
Waiters and Waitresses	4.23%	2.1×	8 of 56
Cashiers	4.28%	2.2×	6 of 56
Fast Food and Counter Workers	12.93%	5.2×	1 of 56

What this report cannot tell you

Gap
licence gate — the only occupation matched is 'Ushers, Lobby Attendants, and Ticket Takers' at 44.33% of this industry's employment, licensed in 2 of 56 jurisdictions. Reported, but too narrow to be read as this industry's barrier to entry.
licence titles in this scope — none matched 'Ushers, Lobby Attendants, and Ticket Takers', though it is licensed in 2 jurisdictions nationally. The title differs locally, or the record is held municipally.
occupation mix for NAICS 512132 — the labour statistics carry no rows at this level, so everything about occupations here, including the defining occupation and its licence gate, is measured at NAICS 512130, a broader grouping. Establishment counts are for 512132 itself.
licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 2 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence.
bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated