Operate · the United States
Underwriting: Process, Physical Distribution, and Logistics Consulting Services
What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.
—
not scored
REWORK
PROVE
OPEN
NOT SCORED. 65 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.
IndustryNAICS 541614
Scopethe United States
RubricO1.0-20260804
Pricedfree — no account, no gate
95th percentile of 287 industries
Where this industry stands
| Net formation, 5yr | Percentile | Reads as | Signal strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| +4.31% | 95th of 287 | forming much faster than it is dying | ρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation |
SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2010–FY2026
Can you borrow to buy one
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Acquisition loans approved | 530 |
| Median loan | $161,088 |
| Mean rate | 7.5% |
| Mean term | 96 months |
| Charged off | 13.2% |
7,630 firms · Census SUSB 2022
What firms here actually earn
| Revenue band ($000) | Firms | Share | Cumulative | Labour share of revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <100 | 1,556 | 20.4% | 20.4% | 51.4% |
| 100-499 | 2,997 | 39.3% | 59.7% | 35.2% |
| 500-999 | 931 | 12.2% | 71.9% | 30.0% |
| 1,000-2,499 | 855 | 11.2% | 83.1% | 30.7% |
| 2,500-4,999 | 455 | 6.0% | 89.0% | 31.5% |
| 5,000-7,499 | 198 | 2.6% | 91.6% | 31.9% |
| 7,500-9,999 | 87 | 1.1% | 92.8% | 27.8% |
| 10,000-14,999 | 109 | 1.4% | 94.2% | 26.1% |
| 15,000-19,999 | 64 | 0.8% | 95.0% | 25.7% |
| 20,000-24,999 | 42 | 0.6% | 95.6% | 34.6% |
| 25,000-29,999 | 33 | 0.4% | 96.0% | 23.0% |
| 30,000-34,999 | 27 | 0.4% | 96.4% | 28.3% |
| 35,000-39,999 | 19 | 0.2% | 96.6% | 29.4% |
| 40,000-49,999 | 30 | 0.4% | 97.0% | 26.0% |
| 50,000-74,999 | 36 | 0.5% | 97.5% | 32.7% |
| 75,000-99,999 | 21 | 0.3% | 97.8% | 21.2% |
| 100,000+ | 170 | 2.2% | 100.0% | 28.4% |
SBA 7(a) · FY2010–FY2026
Can an acquisition here be financed?
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| SBA acquisition loans on record | 530 |
| Median loan | $161,088 |
| Typical rate | 7.5% |
| Typical term | 96 months |
| Total approved | $199,429,900 |
| Charge-off rate, seasoned cohorts | 13.2% |
| Loans that reached an outcome | 182 |
| Rank among industries | 95th of 501 |
Take this away
| Format | What it is |
|---|---|
| download the document → | One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account. |
| JSON → | The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached. |
65 of 100 rubric points evidenced
What this report can and cannot underwrite
| Dimension | Weight | Evidence | Predicts? | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O1 · Demand density and recurrence | 25 | evidenced | predictive · ρ +0.57 | US Census County Business Patterns |
| O2 · Payment evidence | 15 | partial | not backtested | USASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain |
| O3 · Licence gate favourability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | CareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor |
| O4 · Labour availability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024 |
| O5 · Incumbent weakness | 10 | no producer | not backtested | none |
| O6 · Margin structure | 10 | partial | not backtested | US Census Statistics of U.S. Businesses 2022 |
| O7 · Ceiling | 10 | evidenced | DESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05 | US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain |
Every licensed occupation in this industry
| Occupation | Share here | Concentration | Jurisdictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Management Analysts | 12.35% | 20.6× | 12 of 56 |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 4.28% | 5.4× | 24 of 56 |
| General and Operations Managers | 7.83% | 3.2× | 23 of 56 |
| Business Operations Specialists, All Other | 2.97% | 4.0× | 6 of 56 |
| Project Management Specialists | 3.84% | 5.4× | 3 of 56 |
| Software Developers | 2.7% | 2.4× | 1 of 56 |
What this report cannot tell you
| Gap |
|---|
| licence titles in this scope — none matched 'Management Analysts', though it is licensed in 12 jurisdictions nationally. The title differs locally, or the record is held municipally. |
| occupation mix for NAICS 541614 — the labour statistics carry no rows at this level, so everything about occupations here, including the defining occupation and its licence gate, is measured at NAICS 541600, a broader grouping. Establishment counts are for 541614 itself. |
| licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 12 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence. |
| bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated |