Operate · the United States
Underwriting: Outpatient Mental Health and Substance Abuse Centers
What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.
—
not scored
REWORK
PROVE
OPEN
NOT SCORED. 65 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.
IndustryNAICS 621420
Scopethe United States
RubricO1.0-20260804
Pricedfree — no account, no gate
89th percentile of 287 industries
Where this industry stands
| Net formation, 5yr | Percentile | Reads as | Signal strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| +3.49% | 89th of 287 | forming much faster than it is dying | ρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation |
SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2010–FY2026
Can you borrow to buy one
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Acquisition loans approved | 428 |
| Median loan | $184,506 |
| Mean rate | 7.4% |
| Mean term | 136 months |
| Charged off | 6.2% |
9,451 firms · Census SUSB 2022
What firms here actually earn
| Revenue band ($000) | Firms | Share | Cumulative | Labour share of revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <100 | 1,608 | 17.0% | 17.0% | 162.4% |
| 100-499 | 2,969 | 31.4% | 48.4% | 45.4% |
| 500-999 | 1,175 | 12.4% | 60.9% | 44.5% |
| 1,000-2,499 | 1,325 | 14.0% | 74.9% | 44.8% |
| 2,500-4,999 | 697 | 7.4% | 82.3% | 44.9% |
| 5,000-7,499 | 278 | 2.9% | 85.2% | 47.6% |
| 7,500-9,999 | 210 | 2.2% | 87.4% | 48.6% |
| 10,000-14,999 | 239 | 2.5% | 89.9% | 46.5% |
| 15,000-19,999 | 161 | 1.7% | 91.7% | 51.6% |
| 20,000-24,999 | 121 | 1.3% | 92.9% | 52.6% |
| 25,000-29,999 | 89 | 0.9% | 93.9% | 47.8% |
| 30,000-34,999 | 68 | 0.7% | 94.6% | 48.4% |
| 35,000-39,999 | 50 | 0.5% | 95.1% | 47.4% |
| 40,000-49,999 | 78 | 0.8% | 95.9% | 49.6% |
| 50,000-74,999 | 119 | 1.3% | 97.2% | 49.1% |
| 75,000-99,999 | 55 | 0.6% | 97.8% | 50.1% |
| 100,000+ | 209 | 2.2% | 100.0% | 46.2% |
SBA 7(a) · FY2010–FY2026
Can an acquisition here be financed?
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| SBA acquisition loans on record | 428 |
| Median loan | $184,506 |
| Typical rate | 7.4% |
| Typical term | 136 months |
| Total approved | $209,673,300 |
| Charge-off rate, seasoned cohorts | 6.2% |
| Loans that reached an outcome | 96 |
| Rank among industries | 45th of 501 |
Take this away
| Format | What it is |
|---|---|
| download the document → | One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account. |
| JSON → | The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached. |
65 of 100 rubric points evidenced
What this report can and cannot underwrite
| Dimension | Weight | Evidence | Predicts? | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O1 · Demand density and recurrence | 25 | evidenced | predictive · ρ +0.57 | US Census County Business Patterns |
| O2 · Payment evidence | 15 | partial | not backtested | USASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain |
| O3 · Licence gate favourability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | CareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor |
| O4 · Labour availability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024 |
| O5 · Incumbent weakness | 10 | no producer | not backtested | none |
| O6 · Margin structure | 10 | partial | not backtested | US Census Statistics of U.S. Businesses 2022 |
| O7 · Ceiling | 10 | evidenced | DESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05 | US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain |
Every licensed occupation in this industry
| Occupation | Share here | Concentration | Jurisdictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriage and Family Therapists | 2.43% | 45.4× | 49 of 56 |
| Medical and Health Services Managers | 3.34% | 8.5× | 48 of 56 |
| Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers | 7.35% | 74.1× | 45 of 56 |
| Substance Abuse, Behavioral Disorder, and Mental Health Counselors | 26.8% | 75.4× | 10 of 56 |
| Social and Human Service Assistants | 6.65% | 22.1× | 7 of 56 |
| Psychiatric Technicians | 3.22% | 30.1× | 6 of 56 |
| Registered Nurses | 4.2% | 1.9× | 50 of 56 |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 2.99% | 5.3× | 1 of 56 |
What this report cannot tell you
| Gap |
|---|
| licence titles in this scope — none matched 'Substance Abuse, Behavioral Disorder, and Mental Health Counselors', though it is licensed in 49 jurisdictions nationally. The title differs locally, or the record is held municipally. |
| licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 49 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence. |
| bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated |