Operate · the United States
Underwriting: Nursing Care Facilities (Skilled Nursing Facilities)
What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.
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not scored
REWORK
PROVE
OPEN
NOT SCORED. 65 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.
IndustryNAICS 623110
Scopethe United States
RubricO1.0-20260804
Pricedfree — no account, no gate
67th percentile of 287 industries
Where this industry stands
| Net formation, 5yr | Percentile | Reads as | Signal strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1.32% | 67th of 287 | forming faster than it is dying | ρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation |
SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2010–FY2026
Can you borrow to buy one
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Acquisition loans approved | 452 |
| Median loan | $412,559 |
| Mean rate | 7.08% |
| Mean term | 179 months |
| Charged off | 6.0% |
10,501 firms · Census SUSB 2022
What firms here actually earn
| Revenue band ($000) | Firms | Share | Cumulative | Labour share of revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <100 | 592 | 5.6% | 5.6% | 48.6% |
| 100-499 | 1,096 | 10.4% | 16.1% | 55.5% |
| 500-999 | 566 | 5.4% | 21.5% | 48.5% |
| 1,000-2,499 | 895 | 8.5% | 30.0% | 50.2% |
| 2,500-4,999 | 1,537 | 14.6% | 44.6% | 46.6% |
| 5,000-7,499 | 1,421 | 13.5% | 58.2% | 44.3% |
| 7,500-9,999 | 1,155 | 11.0% | 69.2% | 44.4% |
| 10,000-14,999 | 1,316 | 12.5% | 81.7% | 43.0% |
| 15,000-19,999 | 605 | 5.8% | 87.4% | 42.7% |
| 20,000-24,999 | 268 | 2.6% | 90.0% | 42.6% |
| 25,000-29,999 | 149 | 1.4% | 91.4% | 40.7% |
| 30,000-34,999 | 109 | 1.0% | 92.5% | 40.6% |
| 35,000-39,999 | 73 | 0.7% | 93.2% | 41.9% |
| 40,000-49,999 | 111 | 1.1% | 94.2% | 40.7% |
| 50,000-74,999 | 130 | 1.2% | 95.4% | 42.1% |
| 75,000-99,999 | 75 | 0.7% | 96.2% | 43.4% |
| 100,000+ | 403 | 3.8% | 100.0% | 42.7% |
SBA 7(a) · FY2010–FY2026
Can an acquisition here be financed?
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| SBA acquisition loans on record | 452 |
| Median loan | $412,559 |
| Typical rate | 7.08% |
| Typical term | 179 months |
| Total approved | $403,377,600 |
| Charge-off rate, seasoned cohorts | 6.0% |
| Loans that reached an outcome | 182 |
| Rank among industries | 42th of 501 |
Take this away
| Format | What it is |
|---|---|
| download the document → | One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account. |
| JSON → | The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached. |
65 of 100 rubric points evidenced
What this report can and cannot underwrite
| Dimension | Weight | Evidence | Predicts? | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O1 · Demand density and recurrence | 25 | evidenced | predictive · ρ +0.57 | US Census County Business Patterns |
| O2 · Payment evidence | 15 | partial | not backtested | USASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain |
| O3 · Licence gate favourability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | CareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor |
| O4 · Labour availability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024 |
| O5 · Incumbent weakness | 10 | no producer | not backtested | none |
| O6 · Margin structure | 10 | partial | not backtested | US Census Statistics of U.S. Businesses 2022 |
| O7 · Ceiling | 10 | evidenced | DESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05 | US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain |
Every licensed occupation in this industry
| Occupation | Share here | Concentration | Jurisdictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses | 12.15% | 28.5× | 50 of 56 |
| Nursing Assistants | 33.44% | 36.1× | 27 of 56 |
| Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners | 4.59% | 8.2× | 6 of 56 |
| Food Servers, Nonrestaurant | 3.85% | 21.7× | 2 of 56 |
| Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria | 3.4% | 11.7× | 1 of 56 |
| Recreation Workers | 2.49% | 12.1× | 1 of 56 |
| Registered Nurses | 9.05% | 4.1× | 50 of 56 |
| Medical and Health Services Managers | 2.0% | 5.1× | 48 of 56 |
What this report cannot tell you
| Gap |
|---|
| occupation mix for NAICS 623110 — the labour statistics carry no rows at this level, so everything about occupations here, including the defining occupation and its licence gate, is measured at NAICS 623100, a broader grouping. Establishment counts are for 623110 itself. |
| licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 50 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence. |
| bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated |