Operate · the United States

Underwriting: Assisted Living Facilities for the Elderly

What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.

— not scored
REWORK
PROVE
OPEN
NOT SCORED. 80 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.
IndustryNAICS 623312
Scopethe United States
RubricO1.0-20260804
Pricedfree — no account, no gate
57th percentile of 287 industries

Where this industry stands

Net formation, 5yrPercentileReads asSignal strength
+0.66%57th of 287roughly in balanceρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation
SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2010–FY2026

Can you borrow to buy one

MeasureValue
Acquisition loans approved1,092
Median loan$550,941
Mean rate6.91%
Mean term231 months
Charged off2.5%
14,994 firms · Census SUSB 2022

What firms here actually earn

Revenue band ($000)FirmsShareCumulativeLabour share of revenue
<1001,98913.3%13.3%51.3%
100-4995,70738.1%51.3%37.7%
500-9992,41616.1%67.4%42.1%
1,000-2,4992,36115.7%83.2%44.0%
2,500-4,9991,1477.6%90.8%42.1%
5,000-7,4994012.7%93.5%38.8%
7,500-9,9991701.1%94.6%38.3%
10,000-14,9991441.0%95.6%38.4%
15,000-19,999860.6%96.2%39.7%
20,000-24,999600.4%96.6%41.2%
25,000-29,999400.3%96.8%44.1%
30,000-34,999380.3%97.1%39.4%
35,000-39,999260.2%97.3%35.5%
40,000-49,999440.3%97.6%43.0%
50,000-74,999790.5%98.1%39.6%
75,000-99,999510.3%98.4%38.3%
100,000+2351.6%100.0%39.5%
SBA 7(a) · FY2010–FY2026

Can an acquisition here be financed?

MeasureValue
SBA acquisition loans on record1,092
Median loan$550,941
Typical rate6.91%
Typical term231 months
Total approved$997,990,300
Charge-off rate, seasoned cohorts2.5%
Loans that reached an outcome366
Rank among industries6th of 501

Take this away

FormatWhat it is
download the document →One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account.
JSON →The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached.
80 of 100 rubric points evidenced

What this report can and cannot underwrite

DimensionWeightEvidencePredicts?Source
O1 · Demand density and recurrence25evidencedpredictive · ρ +0.57US Census County Business Patterns
O2 · Payment evidence15evidencednot backtestedUSASpending.gov — searched, zero awards
O3 · Licence gate favourability15evidencednot backtestedCareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor
O4 · Labour availability15evidencednot backtestedBLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024
O5 · Incumbent weakness10no producernot backtestednone
O6 · Margin structure10partialnot backtestedUS Census Statistics of U.S. Businesses 2022
O7 · Ceiling10evidencedDESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain

Every licensed occupation in this industry

OccupationShare hereConcentrationJurisdictions
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses4.24%9.9×50 of 56
Nursing Assistants15.39%16.6×27 of 56
Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners4.99%8.9×6 of 56
Food Servers, Nonrestaurant7.4%41.6×2 of 56
Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria4.68%16.0×1 of 56
Recreation Workers2.59%12.6×1 of 56
Registered Nurses3.17%1.4×50 of 56
Maintenance and Repair Workers, General2.4%2.6×4 of 56

What this report cannot tell you

Gap
occupation mix for NAICS 623312 — the labour statistics carry no rows at this level, so everything about occupations here, including the defining occupation and its licence gate, is measured at NAICS 623300, a broader grouping. Establishment counts are for 623312 itself.
licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 50 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence.
bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated