Operate · the United States
Underwriting: Child and Youth Services
What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.
—
not scored
REWORK
PROVE
OPEN
NOT SCORED. 65 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.
IndustryNAICS 624110
Scopethe United States
RubricO1.0-20260804
Pricedfree — no account, no gate
96th percentile of 287 industries
Where this industry stands
| Net formation, 5yr | Percentile | Reads as | Signal strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| +4.40% | 96th of 287 | forming much faster than it is dying | ρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation |
SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2010–FY2026
Can you borrow to buy one
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Acquisition loans approved | 264 |
| Median loan | $227,341 |
| Mean rate | 7.32% |
| Mean term | 151 months |
| Charged off | 6.6% |
10,367 firms · Census SUSB 2022
What firms here actually earn
| Revenue band ($000) | Firms | Share | Cumulative | Labour share of revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <100 | 1,995 | 19.2% | 19.2% | 49.0% |
| 100-499 | 3,414 | 32.9% | 52.2% | 43.3% |
| 500-999 | 1,521 | 14.7% | 66.8% | 42.9% |
| 1,000-2,499 | 1,476 | 14.2% | 81.1% | 44.1% |
| 2,500-4,999 | 727 | 7.0% | 88.1% | 40.9% |
| 5,000-7,499 | 263 | 2.5% | 90.6% | 43.3% |
| 7,500-9,999 | 176 | 1.7% | 92.3% | 40.4% |
| 10,000-14,999 | 184 | 1.8% | 94.1% | 41.4% |
| 15,000-19,999 | 104 | 1.0% | 95.1% | 38.7% |
| 20,000-24,999 | 80 | 0.8% | 95.9% | 42.0% |
| 25,000-29,999 | 57 | 0.5% | 96.4% | 39.7% |
| 30,000-34,999 | 61 | 0.6% | 97.0% | 41.3% |
| 35,000-39,999 | 38 | 0.4% | 97.4% | 42.7% |
| 40,000-49,999 | 56 | 0.5% | 97.9% | 43.8% |
| 50,000-74,999 | 71 | 0.7% | 98.6% | 36.6% |
| 75,000-99,999 | 35 | 0.3% | 98.9% | 35.7% |
| 100,000+ | 109 | 1.1% | 100.0% | 30.9% |
SBA 7(a) · FY2010–FY2026
Can an acquisition here be financed?
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| SBA acquisition loans on record | 264 |
| Median loan | $227,341 |
| Typical rate | 7.32% |
| Typical term | 151 months |
| Total approved | $114,885,900 |
| Charge-off rate, seasoned cohorts | 6.6% |
| Loans that reached an outcome | 91 |
| Rank among industries | 51th of 501 |
Take this away
| Format | What it is |
|---|---|
| download the document → | One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account. |
| JSON → | The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached. |
65 of 100 rubric points evidenced
What this report can and cannot underwrite
| Dimension | Weight | Evidence | Predicts? | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O1 · Demand density and recurrence | 25 | evidenced | predictive · ρ +0.57 | US Census County Business Patterns |
| O2 · Payment evidence | 15 | partial | not backtested | USASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain |
| O3 · Licence gate favourability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | CareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor |
| O4 · Labour availability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024 |
| O5 · Incumbent weakness | 10 | no producer | not backtested | none |
| O6 · Margin structure | 10 | partial | not backtested | US Census Statistics of U.S. Businesses 2022 |
| O7 · Ceiling | 10 | evidenced | DESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05 | US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain |
Every licensed occupation in this industry
| Occupation | Share here | Concentration | Jurisdictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Child, Family, and School Social Workers | 2.88% | 11.3× | 37 of 56 |
| Social and Human Service Assistants | 3.96% | 13.2× | 7 of 56 |
| Social and Community Service Managers | 1.8% | 13.0× | 2 of 56 |
| Nursing Assistants | 1.08% | 1.2× | 27 of 56 |
| General and Operations Managers | 1.03% | 0.4× | 23 of 56 |
| Substance Abuse, Behavioral Disorder, and Mental Health Counselors | 2.21% | 6.2× | 10 of 56 |
| Office Clerks, General | 1.05% | 0.6× | 1 of 56 |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 0.97% | 0.8× | 1 of 56 |
What this report cannot tell you
| Gap |
|---|
| licence titles in this scope — none matched 'Social and Human Service Assistants', though it is licensed in 37 jurisdictions nationally. The title differs locally, or the record is held municipally. |
| occupation mix for NAICS 624110 — the labour statistics carry no rows at this level, so everything about occupations here, including the defining occupation and its licence gate, is measured at NAICS 624100, a broader grouping. Establishment counts are for 624110 itself. |
| licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 37 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence. |
| bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated |