Operate · the United States
Underwriting: Snack and Nonalcoholic Beverage Bars
What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.
—
not scored
REWORK
PROVE
OPEN
NOT SCORED. 65 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.
IndustryNAICS 722515
Scopethe United States
RubricO1.0-20260804
Pricedfree — no account, no gate
67th percentile of 287 industries
Where this industry stands
| Net formation, 5yr | Percentile | Reads as | Signal strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1.36% | 67th of 287 | forming faster than it is dying | ρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation |
SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2011–FY2026
Can you borrow to buy one
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Acquisition loans approved | 2,226 |
| Median loan | $137,169 |
| Mean rate | 7.37% |
| Mean term | 113 months |
| Charged off | 5.6% |
59,857 firms · Census SUSB 2022
What firms here actually earn
| Revenue band ($000) | Firms | Share | Cumulative | Labour share of revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <100 | 10,376 | 17.3% | 17.3% | 38.2% |
| 100-499 | 27,312 | 45.6% | 63.0% | 31.4% |
| 500-999 | 12,271 | 20.5% | 83.5% | 30.9% |
| 1,000-2,499 | 7,572 | 12.7% | 96.1% | 29.8% |
| 2,500-4,999 | 1,358 | 2.3% | 98.4% | 29.4% |
| 5,000-7,499 | 354 | 0.6% | 99.0% | 28.4% |
| 7,500-9,999 | 143 | 0.2% | 99.2% | 27.8% |
| 10,000-14,999 | 140 | 0.2% | 99.4% | 28.6% |
| 15,000-19,999 | 68 | 0.1% | 99.6% | 28.7% |
| 20,000-24,999 | 49 | 0.1% | 99.6% | 25.9% |
| 25,000-29,999 | 26 | 0.0% | 99.7% | 25.4% |
| 30,000-34,999 | 14 | 0.0% | 99.7% | 29.8% |
| 35,000-39,999 | 10 | 0.0% | 99.7% | 23.0% |
| 40,000-49,999 | 23 | 0.0% | 99.8% | 28.6% |
| 50,000-74,999 | 28 | 0.0% | 99.8% | 25.4% |
| 75,000-99,999 | 19 | 0.0% | 99.8% | 25.0% |
| 100,000+ | 94 | 0.2% | 100.0% | 24.8% |
SBA 7(a) · FY2011–FY2026
Can an acquisition here be financed?
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| SBA acquisition loans on record | 2,226 |
| Median loan | $137,169 |
| Typical rate | 7.37% |
| Typical term | 113 months |
| Total approved | $558,812,900 |
| Charge-off rate, seasoned cohorts | 5.6% |
| Loans that reached an outcome | 711 |
| Rank among industries | 36th of 501 |
Take this away
| Format | What it is |
|---|---|
| download the document → | One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account. |
| JSON → | The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached. |
65 of 100 rubric points evidenced
What this report can and cannot underwrite
| Dimension | Weight | Evidence | Predicts? | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O1 · Demand density and recurrence | 25 | evidenced | predictive · ρ +0.57 | US Census County Business Patterns |
| O2 · Payment evidence | 15 | partial | not backtested | USASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain |
| O3 · Licence gate favourability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | CareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor |
| O4 · Labour availability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024 |
| O5 · Incumbent weakness | 10 | no producer | not backtested | none |
| O6 · Margin structure | 10 | partial | not backtested | US Census Statistics of U.S. Businesses 2022 |
| O7 · Ceiling | 10 | evidenced | DESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05 | US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain |
Every licensed occupation in this industry
| Occupation | Share here | Concentration | Jurisdictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waiters and Waitresses | 16.9% | 8.2× | 8 of 56 |
| Cooks, Restaurant | 11.02% | 8.5× | 7 of 56 |
| Hosts and Hostesses, Restaurant, Lounge, and Coffee Shop | 3.37% | 8.6× | 6 of 56 |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 8.23% | 9.6× | 3 of 56 |
| Fast Food and Counter Workers | 28.44% | 11.5× | 1 of 56 |
| Cooks, Fast Food | 5.8% | 13.1× | 1 of 56 |
| Dishwashers | 3.1% | 7.7× | 6 of 56 |
| Food Preparation Workers | 4.01% | 6.3× | 1 of 56 |
What this report cannot tell you
| Gap |
|---|
| licence titles in this scope — none matched 'Fast Food and Counter Workers', though it is licensed in 8 jurisdictions nationally. The title differs locally, or the record is held municipally. |
| occupation mix for NAICS 722515 — the labour statistics carry no rows at this level, so everything about occupations here, including the defining occupation and its licence gate, is measured at NAICS 722500, a broader grouping. Establishment counts are for 722515 itself. |
| licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 8 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence. |
| bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated |