Operate · the United States

Underwriting: Civic and Social Organizations

What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.

— not scored
REWORK
PROVE
OPEN
NOT SCORED. 65 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.
IndustryNAICS 813410
Scopethe United States
RubricO1.0-20260804
Pricedfree — no account, no gate
48th percentile of 287 industries

Where this industry stands

Net formation, 5yrPercentileReads asSignal strength
+0.07%48th of 287roughly in balanceρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation
SBA 7(a) acquisition loans · FY2013–FY2023

Can you borrow to buy one

MeasureValue
Acquisition loans approved8
Median loan$93,533
Mean rate6.61%
Mean term93 months
Charged off—
23,260 firms · Census SUSB 2022

What firms here actually earn

Revenue band ($000)FirmsShareCumulativeLabour share of revenue
<1004,82220.7%20.7%31.2%
100-49910,93247.0%67.7%25.6%
500-9993,51515.1%82.8%24.3%
1,000-2,4992,42210.4%93.3%26.9%
2,500-4,9998083.5%96.7%30.9%
5,000-7,4992821.2%97.9%33.7%
7,500-9,9991240.5%98.5%33.3%
10,000-14,9991400.6%99.1%32.9%
15,000-19,999760.3%99.4%35.5%
20,000-24,999290.1%99.5%33.5%
25,000-29,999220.1%99.6%33.2%
30,000-34,999140.1%99.7%30.9%
35,000-39,99980.0%99.7%34.3%
40,000-49,999160.1%99.8%32.7%
50,000-74,999180.1%99.9%28.7%
75,000-99,999140.1%99.9%25.2%
100,000+180.1%100.0%25.3%
SBA 7(a) · FY2013–FY2023

Can an acquisition here be financed?

MeasureValue
SBA acquisition loans on record8
Median loan$93,533
Typical rate6.61%
Typical term93 months
Total approved$785,200

Take this away

FormatWhat it is
download the document →One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account.
JSON →The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached.
65 of 100 rubric points evidenced

What this report can and cannot underwrite

DimensionWeightEvidencePredicts?Source
O1 · Demand density and recurrence25evidencedpredictive · ρ +0.57US Census County Business Patterns
O2 · Payment evidence15partialnot backtestedUSASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain
O3 · Licence gate favourability15evidencednot backtestedCareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor
O4 · Labour availability15evidencednot backtestedBLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024
O5 · Incumbent weakness10no producernot backtestednone
O6 · Margin structure10partialnot backtestedUS Census Statistics of U.S. Businesses 2022
O7 · Ceiling10evidencedDESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain

Every licensed occupation in this industry

OccupationShare hereConcentrationJurisdictions
Self-Enrichment Teachers3.26%15.9×25 of 56
Bartenders11.24%19.2×11 of 56
Childcare Workers6.77%19.6×5 of 56
Lifeguards, Ski Patrol, and Other Recreational Protective Service Workers5.0%50.2×3 of 56
Recreation Workers6.8%33.1×1 of 56
General and Operations Managers3.26%1.3×23 of 56
Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners2.71%1.9×8 of 56

What this report cannot tell you

Gap
occupation mix for NAICS 813410 — the labour statistics carry no rows at this level, so everything about occupations here, including the defining occupation and its licence gate, is measured at NAICS 813400, a broader grouping. Establishment counts are for 813410 itself.
licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 25 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence.
bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated