Operate · the United States
Underwriting: Political Organizations
What public records can and cannot establish about running this business in the United States, dimension by dimension, with the gaps named.
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not scored
REWORK
PROVE
OPEN
NOT SCORED. 65 of 100 rubric points are evidenced deterministically from public records; 10 have no producer. The ±3.1 interval measured elsewhere on this site is ARBITER's sampling variance and does not apply to a SQL query, which returns the same answer every time it runs.
IndustryNAICS 813940
Scopethe United States
RubricO1.0-20260804
Pricedfree — no account, no gate
23th percentile of 287 industries
Where this industry stands
| Net formation, 5yr | Percentile | Reads as | Signal strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.25% | 23th of 287 | dying faster than it is forming | ρ 0.57 across 4 backtested windows, 42.6pp decile separation |
2,660 firms · Census SUSB 2022
What firms here actually earn
| Revenue band ($000) | Firms | Share | Cumulative | Labour share of revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <100 | 753 | 28.3% | 28.3% | 35.4% |
| 100-499 | 1,031 | 38.8% | 67.1% | 31.1% |
| 500-999 | 360 | 13.5% | 80.6% | 30.6% |
| 1,000-2,499 | 318 | 12.0% | 92.6% | 30.0% |
| 2,500-4,999 | 98 | 3.7% | 96.2% | 29.4% |
| 5,000-7,499 | 29 | 1.1% | 97.3% | 31.0% |
| 7,500-9,999 | 25 | 0.9% | 98.3% | 31.7% |
| 10,000-14,999 | 24 | 0.9% | 99.2% | 29.8% |
| 15,000-19,999 | 4 | 0.2% | 99.3% | 42.9% |
| 20,000-24,999 | 6 | 0.2% | 99.5% | 35.2% |
| 25,000-29,999 | 5 | 0.2% | 99.7% | 29.0% |
| 30,000-34,999 | 4 | 0.2% | 99.9% | 29.0% |
| 35,000-39,999 | 3 | 0.1% | 100.0% | 52.0% |
Take this away
| Format | What it is |
|---|---|
| download the document → | One self-contained file — no stylesheet, no fonts, no scripts. Works offline, prints, and carries a content hash anyone can verify at /verify without an account. |
| JSON → | The same figures as data, with every source and gap attached. |
65 of 100 rubric points evidenced
What this report can and cannot underwrite
| Dimension | Weight | Evidence | Predicts? | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O1 · Demand density and recurrence | 25 | evidenced | predictive · ρ +0.57 | US Census County Business Patterns |
| O2 · Payment evidence | 15 | partial | not backtested | USASpending.gov — US federal government work, public domain |
| O3 · Licence gate favourability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | CareerOneStop / ARC, U.S. Department of Labor |
| O4 · Labour availability | 15 | evidenced | not backtested | BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024 |
| O5 · Incumbent weakness | 10 | no producer | not backtested | none |
| O6 · Margin structure | 10 | partial | not backtested | US Census Statistics of U.S. Businesses 2022 |
| O7 · Ceiling | 10 | evidenced | DESCRIPTIVE ONLY · ρ +0.05 | US Census Business Dynamics Statistics — public domain |
Every licensed occupation in this industry
| Occupation | Share here | Concentration | Jurisdictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Relations Specialists | 3.79% | 20.4× | 10 of 56 |
| General and Operations Managers | 9.15% | 3.7× | 23 of 56 |
| Business Operations Specialists, All Other | 4.08% | 5.4× | 6 of 56 |
| Maintenance and Repair Workers, General | 3.53% | 3.8× | 4 of 56 |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 2.99% | 3.1× | 2 of 56 |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 5.22% | 4.4× | 1 of 56 |
| Office Clerks, General | 3.76% | 2.2× | 1 of 56 |
What this report cannot tell you
| Gap |
|---|
| licence titles in this scope — none matched 'Labor Relations Specialists', though it is licensed in 10 jurisdictions nationally. The title differs locally, or the record is held municipally. |
| occupation mix for NAICS 813940 — the labour statistics carry no rows at this level, so everything about occupations here, including the defining occupation and its licence gate, is measured at NAICS 813900, a broader grouping. Establishment counts are for 813940 itself. |
| licence coverage — the register holds 54 of 56 US licensing jurisdictions, and 2,504 of its records carry no jurisdiction at all. A count of 10 is out of 54 searched, not out of 56. The unsearched jurisdictions are not evidence of no licence. |
| bonding_required_usd — no producer, and not estimated |